Cardano has fallen more than 90% from its all-time high and largely slipped from the public crypto conversation. Still, investors and analysts point to three concrete catalysts that could revive interest in the blockchain and its ADA token: spot exchange-traded funds, a major artificial-intelligence project, and the platform’s Strategy 2030 for on‑chain growth.
Several teams have filed for spot Cardano ETFs and industry sources expect the first such product could win regulatory approval by the end of October. A spot ETF would simplify institutional and retail exposure to ADA and could draw fresh capital into the market, proponents say. So far, however, institutional appetite for Cardano has been limited.
A second potential driver is an AI project running on Cardano. In 2021, SingularityNET — now operating as the Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) — announced a move to Cardano. That shift generated attention but failed to spark a sustained price surge for either FET or ADA. Observers say a high‑profile, well-executed AI deployment could change Cardano’s narrative, but the chain has yet to secure a signature partner that demonstrably shifts developer or user activity.
Cardano’s own roadmap may matter most. At the end of 2025 the Cardano community unveiled Strategy 2030, a multi‑year plan to boost on‑chain activity, developer engagement, and user adoption. The strategy aims to improve metrics that investors use to evaluate blockchains, such as transactions, decentralized application use, and developer growth. Executing that plan will take time, and progress will be key to sustaining any renewed investor interest.
Market data underscores the gap between current valuation and past peaks. ADA trades near $0.24 with a market capitalization around $8.7 billion, well below its roughly $3 all‑time high. Analysts note that a move back toward $1 would represent roughly a fourfold gain from current levels — a milestone that could signal a broader recovery, but one that depends on accelerating real usage and investment flows.
Despite these potential upsides, Cardano faces structural challenges. Competing blockchains have captured developer mindshare, and no single chain has yet emerged as a clear leader for AI applications. Past promises that failed to translate into adoption have left some investors skeptical. Regulatory uncertainty for crypto products and the broader market’s preference for rapid upside also weigh against slow, technical rebounds.
Cardano’s future will depend on measurable increases in on‑chain activity and the arrival of tangible partners or products that justify renewed capital. If spot ETFs, a headline AI use case, or Strategy 2030 begin delivering results, ADA could regain investor attention. Until then, the token remains a long‑duration, speculative play tied to execution rather than hype.
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